Another day in the green for stocks, dollar still not finding any love, and U.K. shoppers keep their hands in their pockets.
Still gaining
The strengthening recovery across U.S. equities -- the S&P 500 Index capped its best five-day run
since 2011 yesterday -- continues to set the tone for global
benchmarks. Overnight, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.7 percent in a
fairly quiet session as the Chinese New Year holiday began, while
Japan’s Topix index closed 1 percent higher after Prime Minister Shinzo
Abe nominated Haruhiko Kuroda to lead the Bank of Japan for another five-year term. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 Index had risen 1 percent by 5:40 a.m. Eastern Time, with energy shares leading a broad rebound. S&P 500 futures added as much as 0.4 percent, the 10-year Treasury yield was at 2.895 percent and gold was higher.
Dollar slide
The move lower in the U.S. dollar continued, with the yen falling below at 106 to the greenback for the first time since November 2016. The prospect of widening twin deficits is giving dollar bears more ammunition. A barrel of West Texas Intermediate for March delivery was trading at $61.59 by 5:40 a.m. as commodities priced in dollars prove attractive.
Miss
Retail sales in the U.K. barely grew in January, with the 0.1 percent monthly increase,
far below analyst expectations. The Office for National Statistics said
that sector is in the grip of a longer-term slowdown. There are signs
that Brexit uncertainty is starting to bite elsewhere, with job losses
starting to hit the auto workers, amid fears of factory closures should the U.K. lose tariff-free access to the single trading bloc.
No compromise
The Senate rejected both a White House-backed proposal and a bipartisan compromise on solutions to address the fate of 1.8 million young immigrants.
This leaves the chances of a broad deal on immigration this year all
but dead. With the November elections already starting to loom over
lawmakers, positions on the issue are only likely to become more
entrenched in the coming months as President Donald Trump maintains a hardline stance.
Coming up...
Economists will closely watch the University of Michigan February Consumer Sentiment report, due at 10:00 a.m. for any signs of the recent market turmoil feeding through to the broader economy. At 1:00 p.m., the latest Baker Hughes rig count is due, with analysts watching closely following last week’s biggest jump in a year.